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芯海科技(688595):跟踪报告之四:下游需求回暖,出货量逐步提升
ChipseaChipsea(SH:688595) EBSCN·2025-06-24 04:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company, Chipsea Technology (688595.SH), is transitioning from traditional consumer electronics to high-end sectors such as automotive electronics, computing and communication, mobile phones, BMS, and industrial control since 2019. The core products are high-performance SOCs [2]. - The company has seen a recovery in downstream demand, with product shipments gradually increasing. Revenue for 2024 is projected at 702 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.22%, and Q1 2025 revenue is expected to be 158 million yuan, up 4.66% year-on-year [2]. - The company has launched multiple new products in the analog signal chain, with 2024 revenue from these products expected to reach 181 million yuan, a 137.11% increase year-on-year, driven by significant sales growth in BMS products [3]. - MCU chip revenue is projected to reach 326 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a 67.63% year-on-year growth, with notable increases in EC and HUB product shipments [4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Growth - The company anticipates a revenue of 951 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 35.36%, and 1.226 billion yuan in 2026, with a growth rate of 28.92% [5]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 is -13 million yuan, with a subsequent recovery to 23 million yuan in 2026 and 36 million yuan in 2027 [5]. Product Performance - The BMS series products have achieved cumulative shipments exceeding 100 million units, with the first automotive-grade BMS AFE chip set to be released soon [3]. - The company has established a broad product layout centered around EC, covering PD, HapticPad, USB 3.0 HUB, and BMS, with significant growth in shipments for these products [4]. Financial Metrics - The projected gross margin for 2024 is 34.2%, with an expected improvement to 39.3% by 2027 [12]. - The company’s total assets are projected to be 1.695 billion yuan in 2024, with total liabilities of 938 million yuan, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 55% [11].