Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 29.28 CNY, based on a 48x PE for 2025 [2][3]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve small batch production and delivery of various aircraft landing gear in 2025, indicating a significant expansion in the landing gear market [6]. - The military demand is anticipated to recover, while the civil aviation brake market presents substantial domestic replacement opportunities due to geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains [6]. - The company has established a dedicated team to improve accounts receivable collection, which is expected to enhance profitability [6]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue is projected to decline to 538 million CNY in 2024, followed by a rebound to 1,078 million CNY in 2025, representing a growth of 100.3% [2][9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to drop to 16 million CNY in 2024, but recover to 203 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth of 1159.7% [2][9]. - The company's gross margin is forecasted to decrease to 49.8% in 2025, with a gradual recovery to 50.7% by 2027 [2][9]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is adjusted to 0.61 CNY for 2025, with further increases to 0.82 CNY in 2026 and 1.06 CNY in 2027 [2][9]. - The net profit margin is expected to improve from 3.0% in 2024 to 22.7% in 2027 [2][9]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from 0.6% in 2024 to 11.5% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [2][9].
北摩高科(002985):起落架批产交付,民航刹车市场持续拓展,应收账款问题有望改善