Sangfor Technologies (SZ:300454) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-25 14:13Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is recognized as a leading domestic alternative to VMware in the hyper-converged infrastructure (HCI) market, achieving a market share of 20.2% in Q4 2024 and 17.5% for the entire year, making it the top player in China's HCI market [7] - The acquisition of VMware by Broadcom has led to increased costs and customer churn due to higher subscription fees and bundled sales, creating an opportunity for the company to capture market share [7] - The company has developed a competitive edge with its virtualization performance, comprehensive migration tools, and future-proof architecture that supports AI upgrades without requiring significant infrastructure changes [7] - Key clients, including Guojin Securities and Jianghuai Automobile, have successfully migrated their critical operations to the company's solutions, indicating strong market acceptance [7] - The company is expected to benefit from a strategic shift in market sales and organizational structure, with revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 adjusted to 82.50 billion and 91.13 billion yuan, respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to be 8,250 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.7% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 372 million yuan in 2025, reflecting an 89.2% increase compared to the previous year [6] - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 0.88 yuan in 2025, with a projected return on equity (ROE) of 3.9% [6]