Investment Rating - The investment rating for Giant Biogene Holding is "Buy" with a 12-month price target of HK$71, representing an upside of 31.7% from the current price of HK$53.90 [12]. Core Insights - Despite recent uncertainties, Giant Biogene has reiterated its FY25 guidance, expecting sales and net income to grow by 25-28% and 21-24% year-on-year, respectively, with projected figures of RMB6.9-7.1 billion in sales and RMB2.5-2.6 billion in net income [1][3]. - The company is focusing on customer acquisition and retention through enhanced marketing strategies, including increased sample gifts and differentiated product bundles [10]. - Management anticipates a gradual recovery in KOL livestreaming, which has been a significant factor in recent sales pullbacks, and plans to enhance consumer trust through transparency initiatives [1][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY25 guidance remains unchanged with sales expected to be between RMB6.9-7.1 billion and net income between RMB2.5-2.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25-28% and 21-24% respectively [1][3]. - The stock is currently trading at 20x 2025E PE based on the company's guidance, which is considered attractive given the expected recovery in the latter half of FY25 [2]. Sales Drivers - The company has reported strong performance in offline sales channels, with 1H25 growth exceeding initial expectations, and minimal impact from recent allegations on overall sales [9][10]. - Specific sales initiatives include increasing sample gifts and providing exclusive benefits to enhance customer loyalty [10]. Market Position and Strategy - Giant Biogene is actively working on improving brand perception through transparency initiatives, public welfare activities, and partnerships with medical institutions [10]. - The approval processes for medical aesthetics (MA) are proceeding smoothly and are not expected to be affected by recent uncertainties [10].
高盛：巨子生物-近期不确定性影响可控；重申 2025 财年指引，ProBio 业务复苏