XCMG(SZ:000425) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-06-25 15:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company is advancing towards becoming a global leader in the engineering machinery sector, highlighted by the delivery of 100 units of fully electric unmanned mining trucks to Huaneng Yimin Open-pit Coal Mine [2] - The company has established a global framework agreement with mining giant BHP for the supply of mining equipment, indicating a significant expansion in its mining machinery footprint [2] - The mixed reform benefits are becoming evident, with a notable reduction in financing leasing obligations by 9.8% year-on-year [3] - The company aims to rank among the top three globally in the mining machinery sector, having been listed among the top five manufacturers of open-pit mining equipment for six consecutive years [3] - A commitment to shareholder returns is demonstrated through a planned dividend of 2.08 billion yuan for 2024 and a share buyback program totaling 3-6 billion yuan [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1050 billion yuan, 1282 billion yuan, and 1542 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 22%, and 20% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 7.8 billion yuan, 9.8 billion yuan, and 11.9 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 30%, 25%, and 21% respectively [4] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12, 9, and 8 for 2025-2027 [4]