SF Holding(SZ:002352) Xinda Securities·2025-06-26 08:27Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to improve liquidity through the issuance of new H shares and convertible bonds, with a total expected fundraising net amount of approximately HKD 58.33 billion [2][3] - The company has successfully transformed into a comprehensive logistics leader, expanding into various emerging sectors such as express delivery, cold chain, and international logistics, which are expected to enhance profitability and revenue growth [4] - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to grow by 17.1%, 19.7%, and 18.2% respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4] Summary by Sections Fundraising and Liquidity Improvement - The company plans to issue 70 million new H shares at a price of HKD 42.15 per share, which is a discount of approximately 8.8% from the closing price on June 25 [2] - Additionally, the company intends to issue zero-coupon convertible bonds worth HKD 29.5 billion, with an initial conversion price of HKD 48.47 per share, representing a premium of about 5.3% [3] - The funds raised will be used to enhance international and cross-border logistics capabilities, develop advanced technologies, and optimize the company's capital structure [3] Financial Projections - The total revenue for the company is projected to reach HKD 315.54 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.9% [5] - The company's gross profit margin is expected to improve from 12.8% in 2023 to 14.8% in 2027 [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from CNY 2.39 in 2025 to CNY 3.37 in 2027 [5] Profitability and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain a strong cash flow, with cash assets amounting to approximately CNY 427.71 billion as of the end of Q1 2025 [3] - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 21.1x, 17.6x, and 14.9x respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4]