Market Overview - The Wind All A Index achieved three consecutive gains from June 23 to June 25, 2025, increasing market attention on whether the index can break through the previous consolidation platform[6] - As of June 25, the slow line reported 38.4% and the fast line reported 53.9%, indicating the current moving average system is in a "consolidation market" environment[6] BOCIASI Indicator Insights - The BOCIASI sentiment indicator is currently at 62.0%, suggesting that there is still room for upward movement in the index, but caution is warranted due to the high absolute levels[4][7] - The slow line's reduction threshold in a "consolidation market" is set at 44.0%, while the fast line's reduction threshold is at 70.0%[4][6] Investment Strategy Recommendations - Investors are advised to maintain current positions without reducing holdings, while adjusting the portfolio structure to prioritize "controlling drawdowns" over "beating the index"[7] - Even if the brokerage sector continues to rise and leads the index to break the box, there remains a possibility of a subsequent pullback, similar to the experience from October 8 to October 17, 2024[7] Risk Considerations - There is a risk of irrational market fluctuations triggered by unexpected events, which could impact investment strategies[10][7]
策略点评:论第四次_突破尝试”的有效性
Bank of China Securities·2025-06-26 09:15