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海兴电力(603556):智能电表基本盘稳定,全球电网升级打开成长空间

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, with a target price of 27.95 yuan based on a 2025 industry average PE of 13 times [6][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company has a stable foundation in smart electricity products, with a significant growth opportunity in the global power grid upgrade [1]. - The smart meter market is expected to grow from 162 million units in 2024 to 236 million units by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.81% [6]. - The company has established a complete industrial chain and sales channels overseas, contributing to its competitive advantage [6][20]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to reach 5,021 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.4% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1,049 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 4.7% year-on-year increase [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 2.16 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 12 [2][7]. Company Overview - The company has been operating since 1992, focusing on smart electricity products and systems, and has transitioned to a comprehensive solution provider since 2015 [6][20]. - It has established eight production bases domestically and internationally, with products sold in over 90 countries [6][20]. - The company has a strong presence in the smart meter market, with significant participation in domestic and international tenders [6][20]. Market Dynamics - The global demand for smart meters is expected to rise, driven by the increasing need for efficient power management and energy utilization [6][64]. - The company is actively involved in the development of local standards and certifications for smart meters in overseas markets [6][20]. - The investment in smart meters exceeded 20 billion USD in both 2021 and 2022, nearly doubling since 2015 [6]. Product and Service Offering - The company’s product categories include smart electricity products, smart distribution products, and renewable energy systems [6][32]. - It emphasizes research and development, with a stable investment in R&D, accounting for 6.59% of revenue in 2024 [6][35]. - The company has a diverse product range, including smart energy meters, smart terminals, and renewable energy solutions [6][32].