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源飞宠物(001222):深度研究报告:深耕宠物牵引用具,自主品牌发展可期

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 26.5 CNY per share [1][8]. Core Views - The company is focused on the pet leash market and aims to develop its own brands, which are expected to grow significantly in the future. The company has established strong customer relationships with international retailers such as Petco and Walmart, and has recently launched several domestic brands [6][7]. - The financial outlook is positive, with projected revenue growth and a return to profitability after a period of adjustment due to inventory issues. The company is expected to benefit from both domestic and international markets, with a strong emphasis on brand development [6][32]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, Yuanfei Pet, was established in 2004 and has focused on the research, production, and sales of pet products and snacks. It has built a solid customer base, including major international retailers [13]. - The company has undergone three development phases, with a recent focus on domestic brand expansion and product innovation [14]. Financial Analysis - Projected total revenue for 2024 is 1.31 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 32.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 164 million CNY, reflecting a growth of 30.2% [2]. - The company’s revenue is expected to continue growing, with estimates of 1.61 billion CNY in 2025 and 1.82 billion CNY in 2026, alongside a steady increase in net profit [8]. Market Analysis - The overseas market for pet leashes is robust, with increasing demand driven by the perception of pets as family members. The domestic pet food market remains the largest segment, with a strong trend towards health-oriented and functional products [6][56]. - The global pet market is experiencing growth, particularly in the U.S. and Western Europe, where the demand for pet products continues to rise [56]. Competitive Positioning - The company has established a strong foundation in overseas markets, with key partnerships with major retailers. It is also enhancing its production capabilities through new factories in Bangladesh and domestic locations [9][32]. - The company is focusing on developing its own brands, which are expected to gain traction in the market, supported by a strong marketing strategy and product differentiation [9][19]. Profitability Forecast - The company anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability, with net profits projected to reach 242 million CNY by 2027. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.86 CNY in 2024 to 1.27 CNY in 2027 [2][8]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of new brands and the impact of marketing expenditures on profitability [47].