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东海证券晨会纪要-20250630

Group 1: Key Recommendations - The report highlights the performance of global asset classes, noting that global stock markets saw an overall increase, with A-shares, Japanese stocks, and US stocks performing well. Commodity futures such as copper and aluminum rose, while gold and oil prices fell. The US dollar index decreased, leading to a general appreciation of non-US currencies [6][8]. - The report indicates that from January to May 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China reached 27,204.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1%, with a significant drop of 9.1% in May alone. This decline is attributed to the mining industry, while the equipment manufacturing sector maintained a relatively high level of profitability [8][17]. - The report emphasizes the strong demand for AI chips in China, with the domestic AI chip market expected to grow significantly. The company Cambricon (688256) is identified as a key player, with a projected revenue growth of 4,230.22% year-on-year in Q1 2025, driven by strong domestic demand for AI chip replacements [11][12]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The report discusses the performance of the mechanical equipment industry, noting that from January to May 2025, the overall sales of forklifts reached 601,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 9.33%. The export market outperformed the domestic market, with exports growing by 14.7% [21][22]. - The report highlights the trend towards automation in the forklift market, particularly the growth of unmanned forklifts, which saw a 46.6% increase in sales in 2023. This shift is driven by rising labor costs and the need for improved safety in logistics operations [23][24]. - The report suggests that the domestic forklift market is closely tied to the manufacturing sector's recovery and logistics demand, with positive macroeconomic indicators supporting future growth in forklift demand [22][24].