T&S(SZ:300570) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-07-01 08:56Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, assigning a target price of 132.30 RMB based on a 70x PE for 2025 [3]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic optical fiber connector manufacturer, heavily reliant on Corning, which accounts for 70% of its revenue. The partnership allows the company to indirectly supply major North American clients like NVIDIA and Microsoft [2][17]. - The main product, MPO (Multi-fiber Push On) connectors, is entering an upward cycle, supported by strong demand from data centers and advancements in technology such as CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) and OIO (Optical I/O) [2][49]. - The company has a competitive edge due to its close collaboration with Corning and its strategic positioning in the supply chain, which enhances profitability [2][36]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is a leader in the optical device industry, with a product portfolio that includes passive optical components, active optical products, and optical sensing products. Optical connectors contribute significantly to its revenue [13][14]. - Corning is the largest customer, contributing 70% of revenue, with a strong focus on exports, which account for nearly 80% of total sales [17][26]. 2. Main Products and Market Dynamics - MPO connectors are crucial for short-distance interconnections in data centers, with the market expected to grow significantly due to the increasing demand for high-speed data transmission [49][50]. - The report highlights that the value of MPO per GPU is expected to increase as data center architectures evolve and transmission speeds rise, with estimates showing values reaching up to $381 per GPU in advanced configurations [58][59]. 3. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.01 billion RMB (+46%), 2.81 billion RMB (+40%), and 3.85 billion RMB (+37%), respectively. Net profit is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 430 million RMB (+65%) for 2025 [3][6]. - The company's gross margin is expected to remain strong, with a forecasted gross margin of 42% in 1Q25, reflecting its competitive position in the industry [36][30]. 4. Competitive Landscape - The MPO market is characterized by a fragmented competitive landscape, with the top three players holding a combined market share of 36%. The company benefits from its established relationships and cost advantages in the supply chain [61][62]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technological advancements in the MPO industry, which are expected to enhance the overall market valuation and competitive dynamics [2][49].