SAIC MOTOR(SH:600104) Minsheng Securities·2025-07-04 03:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company has shown impressive sales performance in the first half of 2025, driven by domestic and export growth, with a total wholesale sales of 2.053 million vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.4% [1]. - The company is benefiting from state-owned enterprise reforms, which are expected to lead to a bottom reversal in performance, with projected revenues of 687.76 billion, 722.06 billion, and 776.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][4]. - The partnership with Huawei to launch the new smart car brand "Shangjie" is anticipated to enhance sales, with the first SUV model set to be priced between 150,000 and 250,000 yuan [2]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In June 2024, the company sold 365,000 vehicles, with a total of 2.053 million vehicles sold in the first half of 2025, marking a 12.4% increase year-on-year. Notably, the sales of SAIC's new energy vehicles reached 646,000 units, up 40.2% year-on-year [1]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 687.76 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits expected to reach 12.27 billion yuan, translating to an EPS of 1.06 yuan. The PE ratios are projected at 15, 13, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][4]. Strategic Developments - The management restructuring aligns with state-owned enterprise reforms, focusing on domestic market and new energy vehicle development. The new leadership emphasizes resource integration and collaboration to accelerate the company's transformation [2].