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中国船舶(600150):吸收合并中国重工获审核通过,业绩有望加速释放

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The recent announcement of the stock swap merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation has been approved by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, marking a significant step towards the merger's completion. Post-merger, the company will become the largest publicly listed shipbuilding company globally, enhancing its influence while reducing competition within the shipbuilding sector [2][4] - The merger is expected to create synergies that will improve order efficiency and shipbuilding capacity, thereby enhancing profitability. Following the merger, the integration of other quality assets within the group is anticipated to commence [2][11] - The company is projected to see a continuous increase in the proportion of high-value ship orders delivered by 2025, leading to sustained performance growth. The advancement in deep-sea technology positions the company as a leader in marine engineering, which is expected to yield significant benefits [2][11] Summary by Sections Event Description - On July 4, the company announced that its application for a stock swap merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation has been approved by the M&A Review Committee of the Shanghai Stock Exchange, meeting the restructuring conditions and information disclosure requirements [4] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is expected to maintain a leading position in global shipbuilding, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of 73.5 billion, 100.8 billion, and 128.0 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 20X, 15X, and 11X [11][15] - The company’s revenue is forecasted to grow from 78.584 billion in 2024 to 109.957 billion in 2027, with gross profit margins increasing from 10% to 19% over the same period [15]