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宇通客车(600066):25H1销量点评:6月产销同环比高增,25H1销量同比提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company experienced a significant increase in sales in June, with total sales of 5,919 units, representing a month-on-month increase of 25% and a year-on-year increase of 94% [8] - The overall market demand is recovering due to the implementation of new energy subsidy policies, leading to a notable improvement in sales growth compared to April and May [8] - The company has secured a new order of 1,000 units in Kazakhstan, further enhancing its international presence and local production capabilities [8] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are maintained at 429 billion, 499 billion, and 567 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profit estimates of 46.3 billion, 55.2 billion, and 66.8 billion yuan [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 27,042 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 24.05% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1,817 million yuan in 2023, reflecting a substantial year-on-year increase of 139.36% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 0.82 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.57 [1] - The company anticipates a steady growth in net profit margins, with projections of 11.06% in 2024 and increasing to 21.06% by 2027 [9]