Yanjing Brewery(SZ:000729) Huachuang Securities·2025-07-09 09:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 15.5 yuan [2][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.06 to 1.14 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 40% to 50%. The non-recurring net profit is projected to be 930 to 1,000 million yuan, with a growth of about 25% to 35% [2][8]. - The second quarter is estimated to yield a net profit of 900 to 970 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.7% to 48.3%, driven by strong performance in the U8 product line and cost optimization efforts [2][8]. - The company has seen a steady revenue growth, with the U8 product continuing to perform well. Sales volume is expected to show stable growth, with positive performance across various regions [2][8]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 14,667 million yuan in 2024 to 15,472 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.5% [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase significantly from 1,056 million yuan in 2024 to 1,552 million yuan in 2025, marking a growth rate of 47.0% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.37 yuan in 2024 to 0.55 yuan in 2025 [4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a rare growth stock in the market, with ongoing reforms and the successful launch of the U8 product line contributing to improved product structure and profit margins [2][8]. - The report indicates that the company is likely to benefit from the gradual recovery of the restaurant sector and the continued expansion of its product offerings, which may enhance its market competitiveness [2][8].