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中广核矿业(01164):稀缺海外铀资源平台,受益铀价上行

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a rare overseas uranium resource platform, benefiting from rising uranium prices and the global nuclear power recovery [1][2]. - The company has signed a sales framework agreement with CGN Uranium for the years 2026 to 2028, ensuring a minimum annual purchase of 1,200 tons of natural uranium, with a pricing mechanism that favors the company [2]. - The demand for uranium is expected to grow due to China's ongoing nuclear power investments, with a forecast of 10 or more new units approved annually since 2022 [3]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of HKD 86.2 billion and a net profit of HKD 3.4 billion in 2024, with a significant increase in net profit expected in the following years [1][4]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 90.8 billion, HKD 100.2 billion, and HKD 109.4 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 5%, 10%, and 9% [3]. - The projected net profit for the same years is HKD 6.1 billion, HKD 9.3 billion, and HKD 10.2 billion, with substantial growth rates of 79%, 51%, and 10% respectively [3][4]. Market Data - As of July 9, 2025, the closing price of the stock is HKD 2.27, with a 12-month price range of HKD 1.24 to HKD 2.58 [5]. - The company has a total market capitalization of HKD 18.17 billion and a total share count of 7.601 million [5].