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康耐特光学(02276):业绩盈喜,产品结构优化

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company expects a year-on-year increase of no less than 30% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025, driven by strong sales growth of high refractive index and functional products, leading to an increase in average selling prices [1]. - The company is one of the few manufacturers capable of producing resin lenses with a refractive index of 1.74, and its C2M model effectively ensures the delivery efficiency of customized glasses [1]. - The company plans to invest approximately $4 million to build an automated resin lens production line in Japan, aimed at enhancing its production capacity for high-end customized lenses and improving supply chain resilience [2]. - The new production line is expected to increase annual production capacity by 20% compared to existing facilities and will help mitigate risks associated with trade tensions between China and the U.S. [2]. - The company is actively engaging with leading global technology and consumer electronics firms in its XR (Extended Reality) business, preparing for potential mass production of AR and AI glasses [3]. - The establishment of a national-level R&D center will further strengthen the company's innovation capabilities and project management [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of no less than 271 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [1]. - Revised profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 560 million, 670 million, and 790 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 31X, 26X, and 22X [4]. Production and Supply Chain - The new Japanese production line is expected to enhance the company's ability to respond to customer needs in the Asia-Pacific region and improve overall production cost efficiency [2]. - The diversified production base is anticipated to strengthen the company's resilience against geopolitical uncertainties and currency fluctuations [2]. Research and Development - The company is committed to continuous investment in R&D, focusing on innovative products with varying refractive indices and functionalities [3]. - The establishment of an XR R&D center is part of the company's strategy to enhance its technological capabilities and foster collaboration with industry leaders [3].