Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in display business profits, driven by optimization of panel product structure and a trend towards larger sizes, which has led to stable pricing and increased demand [2]. - The semiconductor display business is expected to achieve a net profit exceeding 46 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 70% [3]. - The photovoltaic business remains under pressure, with expected net losses for TCL Zhonghuan in the range of 12 to 13.5 billion yuan due to product price declines and inventory impairments [3]. - The company continues to enhance its competitive advantage through strategic acquisitions and operational improvements, including the integration of LG Display (China) and the completion of a stake acquisition in Shenzhen Huaxing Optoelectronics [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company anticipates revenue between 826 billion and 906 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3% to 13% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between 18 billion and 20 billion yuan, marking a growth of 81% to 101% year-on-year [1]. - The adjusted net profit is expected to be between 15 billion and 16.5 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial increase of 168% to 195% year-on-year [1]. Business Segments - The large-size display segment is experiencing growth due to an optimized supply-side structure and stable pricing, while the medium-size segment benefits from increased IT product sales [2]. - The OLED business in the small-size segment has seen success through a high-end strategy, supplying differentiated products to leading customers [2]. - The photovoltaic segment is facing challenges, with a decline in demand and profitability, but the company is actively working on cost control and operational improvements [3]. Profitability and Valuation - The report adjusts the profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, lowering the net profit estimates to 59.58 billion yuan and 83.35 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 24% and 15% [3]. - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025 to 2027 are 15, 11, and 9 times, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to the company's ongoing profitability in the display business [3].
TCL科技(000100):跟踪报告之九:显示业务利润显著改善,新能源光伏业务仍承压