GOLDWIND(SZ:002202) Guoxin Securities·2025-07-13 11:48Investment Rating - The investment rating for the wind power industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [1] Core Viewpoints - The offshore wind sector is expected to see significant project launches in Jiangsu and Guangdong in the first half of 2025, marking the beginning of a new era for national offshore wind development. The average annual installed capacity for offshore wind during the 14th Five-Year Plan is projected to exceed 20GW, significantly surpassing the previous plan's levels. For onshore wind, the industry is anticipated to reach a record high of 100GW in installed capacity in 2025, with component manufacturers experiencing simultaneous increases in volume and price, leading to substantial annual performance growth. The domestic manufacturing profitability for main engine companies is expected to recover in the third quarter as orders are delivered following price increases, providing profit elasticity with new orders expected to remain high in 2025-2026 [4][5] Summary by Sections Industry News - The wind power sector has seen a general increase in stock prices over the past two weeks, with the top three performing segments being blades (+15.9%), submarine cables (+2.6%), and complete machines (+0.7%). The top three individual stocks in terms of growth are Zhongcai Technology (+34.8%), Xinqianglian (+11.7%), and Dajin Heavy Industry (+6.1%) [3] Market Performance - As of 2025, the cumulative public bidding capacity for wind turbines nationwide is 41.6GW, with onshore wind at 37.9GW and offshore wind at 3.7GW. The average winning bid price for onshore wind turbines (excluding towers) is 1,531 CNY/kW. In 2024, the total public bidding capacity is expected to reach 107.4GW, with a significant increase in onshore wind bidding [7][8] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main areas: 1) Leading companies in export layouts for piles and submarine cables; 2) Domestic leading companies with bottoming profits and accelerating exports; 3) Component manufacturers with opportunities for simultaneous volume and profit growth in 2025. Recommended companies include Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, Guangda Special Materials, Zhongji United, Dajin Heavy Industry, Riyue Co., Ltd., Times New Materials, Hewei Electric, and Jinlei Co., Ltd. [5]