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有友食品(603697):公司事件点评报告:业绩延续高增,产品渠道双轮驱动

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for Youyou Food [1] Core Views - Youyou Food continues to experience high growth in performance, driven by both product and channel expansion [4][5] - The company is expected to benefit from a low base effect, with projected total revenue for H1 2025 between 746 million to 798 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41% to 51% [4] - The introduction of new products in the Sam's Club channel is contributing positively to sales, with significant monthly sales figures for key products [5] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - For H1 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be between 105 million to 112 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 38% to 48% [4] - The second quarter of 2025 is expected to show even stronger growth, with total revenue projected between 363 million to 415 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43% to 63% [4] Product and Channel Development - The company has successfully introduced new products such as "Light Enjoy Time" and "Sour Soup Double Crisp" in the Sam's Club channel, with strong sales performance [5] - The penetration rate in the snack wholesale market is steadily increasing, with expectations for significant growth in traditional channels, particularly in previously underserved regions [5] Profit Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted to 0.50, 0.61, and 0.72 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 25, 20, and 17 times [6] - The company is expected to maintain strong sales momentum in the Sam's Club channel and continue to benefit from the growth in snack wholesale and e-commerce channels [6] Financial Projections - The projected main revenue for 2025 is 1,586 million yuan, with a growth rate of 34.1% [9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is forecasted at 215 million yuan, with a growth rate of 36.4% [9]