Milkground(SH:600882) China Post Securities·2025-07-14 07:34Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [2][13]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in revenue and profit, with a projected net profit growth of 120.02% in 2025, reaching approximately 250 million yuan [7][9]. - The company has successfully integrated Mengniu Cheese into its financials, leading to a notable increase in net profit for the second quarter of 2025, with estimates ranging from 38 million to 63 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.80% to 89.46% [5][6]. - The introduction of new products and partnerships, such as the collaboration with Jasmine Milk Tea and the launch of cloud cheese and beef cheese sticks, is expected to enhance the company's market position and revenue streams [6]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to generate revenues of 56.01 billion yuan, 65.08 billion yuan, and 78.02 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 15.64%, 16.20%, and 19.88% [7][9]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are 0.49 yuan, 0.67 yuan, and 0.89 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 58, 43, and 32 [7][9]. - The company's gross margin is anticipated to improve, driven by a decrease in raw material costs and effective cost control measures, with a projected gross margin of 30.7% in 2025 [12].