YouYou Foods(SH:603697) China Post Securities·2025-07-14 10:57Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [9][15]. Core Views - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth driven by the expansion of membership channels and new product launches, with a forecasted revenue of 7.46-7.98 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.91%-50.77% [4][5]. - The company is focusing on optimizing channel structures and innovating products, with membership supermarkets and snack wholesale channels becoming key growth drivers [5][6]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for the company's profitability, with net profit for the first half of 2025 expected to be between 1.05-1.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.91%-47.57% [4][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 12.43 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 5.3 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 13.3% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.59 [3]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a revenue forecast adjustment for 2025-2027 to 16.97/20.06/22.49 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 43.51%/18.22%/12.11% [7]. - The expected net profit for the same period is revised to 2.21/2.65/2.99 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 40.42%/20.0%/12.91% [9]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The report notes that the shift in channel structure has impacted gross margins, with a higher proportion of low-margin sales through membership supermarkets and snack channels [6]. - Despite the increase in absolute expenses due to brand investments in online and traditional channels, the overall expense ratio is expected to decline [6].