Espressif Systems(SH:688018) Great Wall Securities·2025-07-15 07:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [2][16]. Core Viewpoints - The company has experienced rapid growth in H1 2025, with projected revenue of 12.20 to 12.50 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 33% to 36%, and a net profit increase of 65% to 78% [1]. - The company is expanding its product matrix and enhancing software application solutions, moving from Wi-Fi MCU to AIoT SoC, with a focus on "processing + connectivity" [1]. - The semiconductor market is expected to continue its strong growth, with a projected increase of 11.2% in 2025, providing opportunities for SoC design companies [6]. - The company is enhancing its edge AI capabilities, with significant advancements in its ESP32-S series chips, which now support voice and image AI applications [6][7]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 1,433 million yuan in 2023 to 4,440 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 26.1% [1]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 136 million yuan in 2023 to 954 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 31.0% [1]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from 7.1% in 2023 to 23.0% in 2027, indicating improving profitability [1]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 175.8 in 2023 to 25.1 in 2027, suggesting a more attractive valuation over time [1].