Chengtou Holding(SH:600649) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-07-15 07:50Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10] Core Views - The company has turned a profit in the first half of 2025, with expected net profit ranging from 1.2 to 1.8 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 1.02 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [5] - The company benefits from a strong backing by Shanghai Urban Investment Group, with ample land reserves and sufficient resources for project delivery [4][10] - Rental income has shown robust growth, with rental inflow reaching 170 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43% [7] Financial Performance - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 613 million yuan in 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) projected at 0.24 yuan [4][8] - Revenue is forecasted to grow significantly, with expected figures of 16.15 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 71.2% [8] - The gross profit margin is anticipated to be 15.8% in 2025, with a net profit margin of 3.8% [8] Sales and Projects - The company reported a decrease in sales area by 47% and sales amount by 62% in the first half of 2025, with major projects including Lushang Garden Phase II and Jingyunli Phase II [6] - As of the end of 2024, the company has approximately 820,000 square meters of land available for development, with 90% located in Shanghai [6] Rental Business - The company has expanded its rental housing scale, with a total rental area of approximately 579,800 square meters and an operating area of about 359,800 square meters [7] - New rental income sources include the Shangyunli Apartment and Chengtou Kuan Ting Xuhui Community, contributing to the overall rental growth [7]