HMD(SZ:002947) Huachuang Securities·2025-07-15 09:35Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [5][23]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 2 to 2.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.06% to 52.58%, with a median estimate of 2.25 billion yuan, which is a 37.32% increase year-on-year [2]. - The growth is driven by strong performance in the precision flexible structural components for consumer electronics and the precision metal components from Huayang Tong, with significant contributions from major clients [8]. - The company has established a solid partnership with major clients, including Apple and Google, and is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the AI hardware sector [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,486 million yuan in 2024 to 7,152 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 36.7% to 27.6% [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 457 million yuan in 2024 to 1,223 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 62.4% to 30.3% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.78 yuan in 2024 to 4.77 yuan in 2027, reflecting strong profitability growth [4]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is entering a harvest period for its consumer electronics business, with significant growth expected from its subsidiary Huayang Tong, which is expanding into new markets such as charging piles and energy storage [8]. - The report highlights the company's strategic positioning in the AI hardware market, benefiting from the increasing demand for servers and related components [8]. - The company has built a flexible production network that allows it to adjust production schedules according to client needs, enhancing its cost structure [8].