Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company has released a mid-year performance forecast for 2025, indicating that the performance exceeded expectations. The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 is expected to be between 410-460 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.7-61.2% [6] - The company is actively promoting its own brand development and expanding its store-in-store model, with over 500 Moto Gallery stores in the US and 24 in Canada by the end of Q1 2025, significantly up from 150 stores at the end of Q3 2024 [6] - The company has a significant supply chain advantage with a comprehensive industry layout, showing resilience against tariff disruptions. The company has a base in Vietnam that covers US orders and has in-house production capabilities for key components [6] - The company is leveraging its integrated supply chain and innovation capabilities to develop unique products, which are gaining market recognition. In 2024, the company added 96 new customers, including 14 from the top 100 US furniture retailers, indicating a strong growth trajectory [6] - The company is expected to continue its global expansion and upgrade its business model, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 increased to 891 million and 1.106 billion yuan, respectively, with a projected year-on-year growth of 30.4% and 24.2% [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,548 million yuan in 2024 to 4,990 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.4% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 683 million yuan in 2024 to 1,339 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 21.1% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 4.10 yuan in 2024 to 6.15 yuan in 2027 [2] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve slightly from 39.4% in 2024 to 40.9% in 2027 [2] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 19.1% in 2024 to 21.9% in 2027 [2]
匠心家居（301061）：业绩表现超预期，自有品牌和新品带动盈利能力持续向上