碳酸锂日报（2025 年 7 月 18 日）-20250718

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures 2509 contract rose 2.47% to 67,960 yuan/ton yesterday. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate remained at 64,950 yuan/ton, the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate remained at 63,350 yuan/ton, and the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) remained at 57,420 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory decreased by 416 tons to 10,239 tons [3]. - Rio Tinto officially announced the suspension of the Mt Cattlin lithium mine in its 25Q2 production report. Zangge Mining's wholly - owned subsidiary, Zangge Potash, received a notice to stop lithium resource development activities on July 16 [3]. - In July, the production is expected to increase by 3.9% month - on - month to 81,150 tons, and the weekly production increased by 690 tons to 18,813 tons. Lithium imports in July are expected to change little compared to the previous month. The production schedule in July increased slightly month - on - month, and the consumption of lithium carbonate by the two major main materials increased by 3% month - on - month to about 80,800 tons. The weekly inventory increased by 1,827 tons to 142,620 tons [3]. - With the continuous fermentation of news, the continuous reduction of warehouse receipts, the continuous rise of lithium ore prices, and many market news disturbances, the price may still be stimulated to rise in the short term. Attention should be paid to the warehouse receipt inventory [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 2. Daily Data Monitoring - Futures: The closing price of the main contract was 67,960 yuan/ton, up 1,540 yuan from the previous day; the closing price of the continuous contract was 68,060 yuan/ton, up 1,460 yuan. The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 693 US dollars/ton, up 8 US dollars [5]. - Lithium ore: The price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) was 910 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan; the price of lithium mica (Li2O: 2.0% - 2.5%) was 1,465 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan [5]. - Lithium carbonate: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5% battery - grade/domestic) remained at 64,950 yuan/ton, and the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate (99.2% industrial zero - grade/domestic) remained at 63,350 yuan/ton [5]. - Lithium hydroxide: The price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles/domestic) remained at 57,420 yuan/ton, and the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) remained at 62,570 yuan/ton [5]. - Other products: The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate was 49,500 yuan/ton, down 400 yuan. Most prices of other products in the lithium - ion battery industry chain remained unchanged [5]. 3. Chart Analysis 3.1 Ore Prices - The report provides charts of the prices of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF), lithium mica (1.5% - 2.0%), lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%), and lithium aluminum phosphate stone (6% - 7%) over time from 2024 to 2025 [6][8]. 3.2 Lithium and Lithium Salt Prices - Charts show the prices of metallic lithium, battery - grade lithium carbonate average price, industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price, battery - grade lithium hydroxide price, industrial - grade lithium hydroxide price, and lithium hexafluorophosphate price from 2024 to 2025 [12][14][16]. 3.3 Price Spreads - Charts present the price spreads between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and other related price spreads from 2024 to 2025 [19][20][21]. 3.4 Precursor & Cathode Materials - Charts display the prices of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium manganate, and cobalt acid lithium from 2024 to 2025 [23][26][29]. 3.5 Lithium Battery Prices - Charts show the prices of 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, cobalt acid lithium cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries from 2024 to 2025 [32][34]. 3.6 Inventory - Charts illustrate the downstream inventory, smelter inventory, and other环节 inventory of lithium carbonate from November 2024 to July 2025 [37][39]. 3.7 Production Costs - The chart shows the production costs and profits of lithium carbonate from different raw materials such as外购三元极片黑粉,外购磷酸铁锂极片黑粉,外购锂云母精矿, and外购锂辉石精矿 from 2024 to 2025 [41][42].