SF Holding(SZ:002352) Huachuang Securities·2025-07-19 11:19Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the express delivery industry, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [2][30]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry experienced a business volume growth of 15.8% in June, with a total of 16.87 billion packages delivered, and a cumulative growth of 19.3% for the first half of the year [5][8]. - The industry's revenue in June reached 126.32 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, with a cumulative revenue of 718.78 billion yuan for the first half, up 10.1% year-on-year [5][8]. - The average revenue per package in June was 7.49 yuan, down 5.9% year-on-year, with a cumulative average of 7.52 yuan for the first half, down 7.7% [5][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The express delivery industry is showing signs of recovery with significant growth in business volume and revenue, driven by major players like SF Express, which led the growth with a 31.8% increase in June [5][6]. - The report highlights the ongoing "anti-involution" trend in the industry, which is expected to enhance the performance elasticity of express delivery companies in the medium to long term [5][8]. Company Performance - SF Express continues to lead the market with a year-to-date growth rate of 31.8%, outperforming the industry average [5][6]. - In terms of revenue growth for June, SF Express reported a 14.2% increase, while other companies like YTO Express and Shentong Express also showed positive growth rates [5][8]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities within the express delivery sector, particularly in companies like Shentong and YTO, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing market adjustments [5][8]. - SF Express's "activation operation" strategy is highlighted as a key driver for its sustained growth, with expectations for continued performance improvement [5][8].