FOTON(SH:600166) Guohai Securities·2025-07-20 12:02Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of Foton Motor to "Buy" [1] Core Views - Foton Motor is expected to enter a new phase of innovation after overcoming previous challenges, with a focus on commercial vehicles and a shift towards autonomous technology development [7][9] - The company has a unique development path compared to traditional state-owned enterprises, characterized by flexibility in management, reliance on external technology, and a broad product strategy [7][35][44] Summary by Sections Company Development Review - Foton Motor has taken a different path from traditional state-owned enterprises, marked by a flexible management structure and a history of leveraging external technology and partnerships for growth [7][35] - The company has experienced both rapid expansion and setbacks, particularly in its foray into passenger vehicles, which led to a strategic refocus on its core commercial vehicle business [7][37] Mid to Long-term Strategy - The company is increasingly focusing on its core commercial vehicle business and enhancing its technological independence, moving away from previous reliance on external partnerships [8][44] - Foton aims to capitalize on opportunities in exports and new energy vehicles, with a goal to develop proprietary technology platforms [8][44] Short-term Operations - The report identifies four positive operational changes for Foton in the near term: reduced impact from Foton Daimler, rapid growth in heavy truck exports, profitability growth in light vehicles driven by exports and new energy, and stable growth in heavy-duty powertrain business [8][9] - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 55.94 billion, 62.10 billion, and 72.65 billion yuan, respectively [9] Investment Recommendations - The report expresses optimism about Foton's operational turnaround and potential return to a "golden era" of growth, supported by a more focused strategy and improved profitability metrics [9]