JEI(SZ:000600) Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-07-22 13:01Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a recommendation for investment based on its growth potential and profitability improvements [4]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a key player in the thermal power sector in Hebei, with a significant market share and a robust growth trajectory in revenue and profit margins [6][8]. - The company has shown a strong recovery in profitability due to declining coal prices and an increase in installed capacity, with expectations for continued growth in net profit over the next few years [6][19]. - The company is actively transitioning towards renewable energy, with substantial investments in solar power and other green initiatives, aiming to enhance its low-carbon footprint [46][52]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 23.52 billion yuan in 2024 to 23.50 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.22% from 2020 to 2024 [2][15]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise significantly, reaching 1.33 billion yuan in 2025 and 1.58 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 149.62% and 8.41% respectively [2][6]. - The gross margin is forecasted to improve from 15.35% in 2024 to 24.45% in 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [2][19]. Business Operations Summary - The company operates primarily in thermal power generation, with a dominant market share of approximately 25% in Hebei province, and plans to increase its installed capacity significantly by 2026 [6][11]. - The company has a strong focus on coal-fired power generation, which constitutes over 90% of its revenue, while also expanding its renewable energy portfolio [6][13]. - The company has several ongoing projects, with a total of 16.02 GW of equity-installed capacity expected by 2026, marking a 32% increase from current levels [41][46]. Future Outlook Summary - The company anticipates a continued upward trend in profitability, driven by lower coal prices and increased efficiency in power generation [6][41]. - The transition to renewable energy is expected to accelerate, with significant investments in solar and storage technologies, positioning the company favorably in the evolving energy landscape [46][52]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 13.26 billion yuan, with a corresponding price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6x, indicating attractive valuation metrics for potential investors [2][6].