HUATIE(SH:603300) Orient Securities·2025-07-22 14:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hainan Huatie, with a target price of 13.05 CNY based on a 29 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [3][5][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to face challenges in its equipment leasing business in 2024 due to macroeconomic factors, leading to a downward revision of revenue and profit forecasts [3][8]. - The projected earnings per share for 2025-2027 are 0.45 CNY, 0.71 CNY, and 0.96 CNY, respectively, down from previous estimates of 0.75 CNY and 0.98 CNY for 2025 and 2026 [3][8]. - Hainan Huatie is positioned to benefit from the growing trend of Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization, leveraging its substantial asset base in equipment leasing and its new foray into computing power leasing [7][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 4,444 million CNY in 2023 to 10,984 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.2% [4][10]. - Operating profit is expected to increase from 981 million CNY in 2023 to 2,363 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise from 801 million CNY in 2023 to 1,908 million CNY in 2027, with a notable increase in the net profit margin from 18.0% to 17.4% over the same period [4][10]. - The company's gross margin is projected to decline from 46.5% in 2023 to 40.9% in 2027, indicating potential cost pressures [4][10]. Market Position and Strategy - Hainan Huatie is a leading equipment leasing company in China, managing over 470,000 tons of construction support equipment and more than 180,000 aerial work platforms [7]. - The company has begun to explore computing power leasing as a second growth curve, with signed contracts exceeding 7 billion CNY [7]. - Strategic partnerships, such as the collaboration with the RWA Research Institute, aim to enhance the company's capabilities in asset tokenization and establish industry standards [7].