Smarter Energy(SH:600869) China Post Securities·2025-07-23 02:16Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price reflecting a potential upside of 20% or more compared to the benchmark index over the next six months [8]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 120 million to 200 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 192.5% to 254.1%. The main drivers for this growth are the continuous improvement in smart cable networks and smart airport businesses, along with a reduction in losses from the smart battery segment [3][4]. - The company has secured contracts worth 15.35 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, with significant contributions from smart cable networks, smart batteries, and smart airport projects [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 5.90 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 13.1 billion yuan. The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 78.6% and a current P/E ratio of -41.17 [2]. Business Segments - Smart Cable Networks: The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the nuclear cable sector and has established itself as a key player in high-end submarine cable technology, which is expected to enhance profitability [4]. - Smart Batteries: The segment is anticipated to further reduce losses, supported by the ongoing energy reform and the potential for a unified national electricity market, which could improve the business model [5]. - Smart Airports: The company is involved in several airport construction projects and aims to leverage its expertise to expand into the low-altitude economy, providing comprehensive solutions [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 29.74 billion, 33.90 billion, and 38.36 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 530 million, 827 million, and 1.22 billion yuan [6][10]. - The company is expected to achieve a gross margin improvement, with projections indicating a gross margin of 10.7% in 2025, increasing to 11.6% by 2027 [10]. Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.66, 15.83, and 10.76, respectively, indicating a potential for valuation improvement as profitability increases [8][10].