Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [9][13]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in high-end titanium alloy technology, focusing on the production of titanium and titanium alloy bars, forgings, and components primarily for high-end equipment in aerospace, marine, and military sectors. The company aims to expand its product offerings into downstream components, particularly in the shipbuilding and military sectors [9][11][29]. - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 808 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.91%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 152 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.04% [9][11]. Summary by Sections 1. High-End Titanium Alloy Sector - The company specializes in high-end titanium and titanium alloy materials, being a key R&D and production base in China. It has transitioned from its original business model to focus on high-performance titanium products since 2006 [19][20]. - The company has established partnerships with major military groups, supplying various titanium alloy products for military aircraft and engines, contributing significantly to national defense upgrades [21][29]. 2. Titanium Alloy Performance and Market Demand - Titanium alloys are characterized by low thermal conductivity, excellent high and low-temperature resistance, and strong corrosion resistance, making them suitable for aerospace and marine applications. The demand for titanium alloys in the aerospace sector is expected to remain robust due to increasing equipment penetration rates and reliability requirements [10][39]. 3. Competitive Advantages - The company has developed proprietary technologies for over 20 grades of titanium alloys, achieving breakthroughs in high-strength and high-toughness materials. It is a core supplier for high-end equipment and is expanding its presence in the civil aviation and marine markets [11][29]. - The company is accelerating capacity release, with new projects expected to add 2,800 tons of titanium alloy bar capacity and 200 tons of forgings [11][29]. 4. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company’s revenue has shown steady growth, increasing from 462 million yuan in 2020 to an expected 808 million yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.04%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow significantly during the same period [34][35]. - The report forecasts net profits of 170 million yuan, 240 million yuan, and 330 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 59, 42, and 30 times [13][12]. 5. Market Recognition and Growth Potential - The market has not fully recognized the company's potential in the marine and civil aviation sectors. The company’s established presence in the aerospace sector is expected to support future growth as new military aircraft and engines are introduced [14][29]. 6. Catalysts for Stock Performance - Potential catalysts for stock performance include unexpected increases in downstream equipment demand and accelerated certification processes for large aircraft [15].
金天钛业（688750）：高端钛合金新锐航空深海合力铸就高成长