Ninestar(SZ:002180) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-23 13:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Insights - The company has successfully signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Huawei for the HarmonyOS, marking it as the first printer company to adapt and receive certification for the HarmonyOS [1][6] - The company is focusing on domestic printer production, which is expected to accelerate due to the partnership with Huawei and the increasing demand for localized products [6] - The sale of overseas assets has been completed, which is expected to help the company concentrate on its core brand and reduce debt, thereby improving its financial stability [6][7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 26,415 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.8%. However, revenue is expected to decline to 19,312 million in 2025, reflecting a decrease of 26.9% [2][11] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 749 million in 2024, dropping to 288 million in 2025, a decline of 61.6% [2][11] - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit to 1,359 million in 2026 and 1,889 million in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42% from 2025 to 2027 [2][6][7] Market Data - As of July 23, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 24.46 yuan, with a market capitalization of 33,390 million [3][6] - The company has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 46 for 2025, which is expected to decrease to 18 by 2027 [2][8] Valuation Analysis - The company is positioned in a growth phase within the domestic printer market, especially after the sale of overseas assets, which allows for strategic focus [7] - The report suggests a conservative PEG ratio of 1.1x, with a target market value of approximately 431 billion yuan, indicating a potential upside of 24% [7][8]