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大金重工(002487):中标欧洲扩容订单,业绩确定性增强

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has secured a significant expansion order in Europe, enhancing earnings certainty. The total value of the order is 430 million RMB, expected to be delivered in 2026 [8] - The company's overseas business has seen a breakthrough, becoming the main driver of overall performance growth, with a substantial increase in project delivery compared to the previous year [8] - The company plans to issue H shares to invest in a deep-sea assembly base in Europe, with a total investment of 1 to 1.2 billion RMB, aiming to enhance local production capabilities and reduce costs [8] - Profit forecasts remain unchanged, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 1.1 billion, 1.5 billion, and 2 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 133%, 37%, and 32% [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to increase from 3,780 million RMB in 2024 to 10,009 million RMB in 2027, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.40% in 2027 [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 473.88 million RMB in 2024 to 1,995.54 million RMB in 2027, with a year-on-year growth rate of 32.36% in 2027 [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to grow from 0.74 RMB in 2024 to 3.13 RMB in 2027 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 31.79 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 20,274.05 million RMB [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 42.78 for 2024, decreasing to 10.16 by 2027 [1]