Lion(SH:605358) China Post Securities·2025-07-25 06:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the benchmark index within the next six months [9][15]. Core Insights - The company has a robust order backlog for epitaxial wafers, with a projected revenue of 2.239 billion yuan from semiconductor wafers in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.91% [3]. - The sales volume of 6-inch wafers is expected to reach 15.1278 million pieces in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 53.68%, while 12-inch wafer sales are projected to grow by 121.23% [3]. - The company is leveraging its integrated supply chain advantages in the semiconductor power device sector, with a focus on expanding the sales of trench products and stabilizing the sales of FRD products [4]. - The revenue from compound semiconductor RF chips is expected to reach 295 million yuan in 2024, a significant year-on-year increase of 115.08% [5]. - The company is strategically positioning itself in emerging markets such as low-orbit satellites and AI terminals, enhancing its product offerings and market presence [5]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.006 billion yuan in 2025, 5.017 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.009 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 30 million yuan, 202.6 million yuan, and 401.83 million yuan respectively [9][11]. - The EBITDA is expected to grow significantly, reaching 1.3457 billion yuan in 2025 and 2.06054 billion yuan in 2027 [11][12]. - The company anticipates a gross margin improvement, with the gross profit margin projected to increase from 8.7% in 2024 to 20.2% in 2027 [14].