Alphabet(US:GOOG) Dongguan Securities·2025-07-25 08:45Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the electronic industry, suggesting an "Overweight" rating for the sector, expecting it to outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [32]. Core Insights - The electronic sector has shown resilience, with a cumulative increase of 4.14% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.67 percentage points [2][9]. - Google's Q2 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of $96.43 billion, driven by strong demand in advertising, search, and cloud services, indicating robust growth in AI commercialization [27]. - The report highlights a significant increase in AI-related activities, with Google's capital expenditure guidance raised from $75 billion to $85 billion for the year, reflecting strong cloud computing demand [27]. Summary by Sections Market Review and Valuation - The SW electronic sector's PE TTM (excluding negative values) is at 47.64 times, placing it in the 94.90% percentile for the past five years and 80.20% for the past ten years [9][14]. - The electronic sector has ranked 17th among all industries in the past two weeks and 19th year-to-date, indicating a competitive performance [2][9]. Industry News - The report notes a 2.4% year-on-year decline in China's smartphone shipments for Q2 2025, attributed to seasonal factors and inventory adjustments by OEMs [18]. - Significant advancements in AI capabilities were reported, with Google's AI Overviews reaching over 2 billion monthly active users, and the Gemini platform achieving 450 million monthly active users [27]. Company Announcements - Notable earnings forecasts include Huadian's expected net profit of 1.65 to 1.75 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.63% to 53.40% [18]. - Shenghong Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 50% to 56% for H1 2025, reflecting strong operational performance [18]. Industry Data - Global smartphone shipments reached 295 million units in Q2 2025, marking a 1.03% increase year-on-year [19]. - The report provides detailed pricing data for LCD panels, showing a decline in prices across various sizes, indicating potential cost pressures in the supply chain [22]. Weekly Perspective - The report emphasizes the importance of upcoming earnings disclosures in the tech sector, which could further influence the AI industry chain positively [27]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies within the server ODM and PCB/CCL supply chains, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing AI demand [27]. Key Stocks to Watch - The report highlights several companies for potential investment, including Luxshare Precision, which is well-positioned to benefit from AI strategies of major clients [28]. - Other notable mentions include Pengding Holdings and Shenghong Technology, both of which have strong market positions in PCB manufacturing [28].