CSCEC(SH:601668) Dongguan Securities·2025-07-25 08:43Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][6]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in new contracts signed in the first half of 2025, which will strongly support future performance [5]. - The total new contracts signed in the first half of 2025 amounted to 2.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%. The construction business contributed 2.32 trillion yuan, up 1.7% year-on-year [5]. - The real estate business remains industry-leading despite a decline in contract sales, with a total of 174.5 billion yuan in sales, down 8.9% year-on-year [5]. - The company has a robust land reserve of 76.27 million square meters, with 5.2 million square meters acquired in the first half of 2025 [5]. - The company reported a revenue of 2.18715 trillion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 3.5%, and a net profit of 461.9 billion yuan, down 14.9% [5]. - The company has a high dividend yield of approximately 4.5%, with a dividend payout ratio of 24.3% in 2024, the highest since its listing [5]. - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 1.16 yuan and 1.20 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 5.08 and 4.9 times [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading player in the global construction industry, demonstrating resilience during recent cyclical downturns in the real estate and construction sectors [5]. Financial Performance - The company’s first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 555.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, and a net profit of 150.13 billion yuan, up 0.6% [5]. Market Position - The company’s real estate sales scale is industry-leading, and it is expected to further increase market share amid cyclical challenges [5].