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零跑汽车(09863):2Q25前瞻:盈利拐点将至,B01驱动下半年增长周期

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Leapmotor [2][18]. Core Views - The report is optimistic about Leapmotor's significant revenue growth in 2Q25, expecting revenue to reach Rmb14.22 billion, a 187.1% year-on-year increase, driven by a 152% year-on-year and 53% quarter-on-quarter rise in sales volume [3][14]. - The gross margin is expected to slightly decline to around 13% due to industry price competition, while the SG&A expense ratio is projected to fall below 9% [3][14]. - Leapmotor's B01 model is positioned to lead the sub-100,000 Rmb pure electric sedan segment, featuring advanced technology and competitive pricing [4][15][16]. - The partnership with Stellantis is highlighted as a strategic advantage, enhancing Leapmotor's market presence and resource optimization [6][17]. Financial Summary - Revenue forecasts for Leapmotor are updated to Rmb64.0 billion for 2025, Rmb83.5 billion for 2026, and Rmb105.6 billion for 2027, reflecting a revision of -5% for 2025 and +3% for the following years [7][18]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability in 2Q25, with a forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders of Rmb120 million, corresponding to a net margin close to 1% [3][14]. - The B01 model is anticipated to achieve stable domestic monthly sales of 15,000 units, with potential growth in overseas markets [5][16].