福能股份（600483）：Q2风况偏弱拖累营收，煤价下跌提振盈利

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company's revenue in Q2 2025 was affected by weak wind conditions, leading to a 4.44% year-on-year decrease in revenue, while net profit increased by 12.48% [7] - The company experienced a 17.00% decline in wind power generation in Q2 2025 compared to the previous year, but overall wind generation for the first half of 2025 increased by 8.37% [7] - The company is focusing on profitability in thermal power generation, with a decrease in output but an increase in profit due to falling coal prices [7] - The company has a robust pipeline of projects, including multiple hydropower and thermal power projects, which are expected to drive growth [7] - The company has demonstrated confidence in its asset value through multiple share buyback announcements [7] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 remain unchanged, with expected net profits of 30.47 billion, 32.34 billion, and 35.43 billion respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 9, 8, and 8 [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 14,428 million, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.9% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is projected to be 3,047 million, reflecting a 9.1% year-on-year growth [6] - The earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 1.10 yuan [6] - The gross profit margin for 2025 is forecasted to be 29.6% [6]