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三生制药(01530):辉瑞引进PD-1/VEGF双抗中国内地权益;上调峰值销售预测及目标价

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][11] Core Views - The company has entered into a licensing agreement with Pfizer for the PD-1/VEGF dual antibody, which is expected to enhance its market position and revenue potential [2][6] - The peak sales forecast for the product has been raised to RMB 6.6 billion (approximately USD 900 million) due to the collaboration with Pfizer [6] - The target price for the company's stock has been increased to HKD 33.00, reflecting a potential upside of 16% from the current price [2][6] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 have been increased by 6% to RMB 20,316 million, with further growth expected in subsequent years [5][12] - Gross profit for 2025 is projected at RMB 18,812 million, with a gross margin of 92.6% [5][12] - Net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be RMB 9,372 million, representing a 9% increase from previous estimates [5][12] Market Position - The company is transitioning from reliance on traditional blockbuster products to a strategy focused on new product iterations and international expansion, indicating a significant growth opportunity [6][7] - The stock has shown a remarkable year-to-date increase of 367.93%, highlighting strong market performance [4]