Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][17]. Core Views - The report indicates that China Tobacco Hong Kong has reached a consensus with the State Tobacco Monopoly Administration to maintain its exclusive operation of duty-free cigarette exports within China, suggesting limited impact from recent policy changes [2][10]. - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth, with total revenue projected to increase from HKD 11.836 billion in 2023 to HKD 16.690 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.4% [4][11]. - Net profit is forecasted to grow from HKD 599 million in 2023 to HKD 1.208 billion in 2027, with a notable increase of 59.7% in 2023 and a steady growth trajectory thereafter [4][11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the years 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: HKD 11,836 million - 2024: HKD 13,074 million (+10.5%) - 2025: HKD 14,378 million (+10.0%) - 2026: HKD 15,545 million (+8.1%) - 2027: HKD 16,690 million (+7.4%) [4]. - Net profit projections are: - 2023: HKD 599 million - 2024: HKD 854 million (+42.6%) - 2025: HKD 969 million (+13.5%) - 2026: HKD 1,092 million (+12.7%) - 2027: HKD 1,208 million (+10.6%) [4]. - The report maintains EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at HKD 1.40, HKD 1.58, and HKD 1.75 respectively [10]. Market Data - The current stock price is HKD 32.65, with a market capitalization of HKD 22,583 million and a total share count of 692 million [6][7]. - The stock has traded within a 52-week range of HKD 13.82 to HKD 37.30 [7].
中烟香港（06055）：积极回应，政策影响有限