Western Mining(SH:601168) Dongxing Securities·2025-07-29 02:17Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company has entered a new expansion cycle, with significant improvements in mining and smelting project optimization leading to stable revenue growth [1][2] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 31.619 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.869 billion yuan, up 15.35% year-on-year [1] - The production of key mineral products has increased, with copper production rising by 7.65% to 91,800 tons, zinc by 18.61% to 62,900 tons, and lead by 24.63% to 35,100 tons [2] - The company’s copper segment remains its core business, contributing 76% of revenue and 67% of gross profit in 2024 [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 15.078 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.67%, and a net profit of 1.062 billion yuan, up 20.13% year-on-year [1] - The company’s sales gross margin decreased slightly from 21.06% in H1 2024 to 19.98% in H1 2025, while the net profit margin fell from 11% to 10.64% [8] Production and Efficiency - The company’s smelting production has significantly improved, with copper smelting output increasing by 49.94% to 182,200 tons in H1 2025 [3] - The recovery rates for various minerals have been optimized, contributing to increased production efficiency [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 56.03 billion yuan, 58.64 billion yuan, and 60.90 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 3.84 billion yuan, 4.11 billion yuan, and 4.53 billion yuan [9][10] - The company is actively expanding its mining capacity, with the Yulong Copper Mine's third-phase project expected to increase annual copper production capacity to 180,000-200,000 tons [2]