CFMEE(SH:688630) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-07-29 09:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [9] Core Views - The company benefits from the expansion of PCB equipment and the acceleration of semiconductor equipment layout, maintaining a "Buy" rating. Despite a downward revision of the company's annual profit forecast due to limited capacity in the first phase of the factory, the company is expected to benefit from downstream PCB manufacturers' expansion and the upcoming production of the second-phase factory, leading to a positive mid-term performance release. Long-term, the company's semiconductor business is gradually constructing multiple growth drivers, with projected revenues of 1.5 billion, 2.2 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, and net profits of 300 million, 516 million, and 709 million yuan for the same years [5][6][9]. Company Overview - The company is a leading manufacturer of direct imaging lithography equipment, primarily serving the PCB and semiconductor sectors. Its products include direct imaging equipment for PCB and semiconductor applications, covering various processes from microns to nanometers. The company has a complete range of LDI equipment for PCB manufacturing, including IC substrates, HDI, and flexible printed circuits [6][15]. PCB Business - The PCB business is driven by high-end demand from AI infrastructure, with optimistic capital expenditure guidance from PCB manufacturers. The company has maintained a full order book since Q2 2024, but growth has been limited by capacity constraints. The gradual production of the second-phase factory is expected to release capacity and positively impact order growth [6][15]. Semiconductor Business - The semiconductor business is accelerating its industrialization process, with multiple layouts constructing a new growth curve. The company is focusing on advanced packaging technologies and has successfully completed product validation for several advanced packaging customers. The company is also making steady progress in the general semiconductor field, benefiting from the long-term trend of domestic substitution [7][36]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company's revenue has shown steady growth, with a projected revenue of 1.467 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 53.8%. The net profit is expected to reach 300 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 86.7%. The gross margin is projected to be 39.9% in 2025, with a net margin of 20.4% [8][34]. Market Position - The company has established a strong market position with a complete range of products covering various PCB types and processes. It has successfully penetrated the high-end PCB market and is positioned to benefit from the ongoing expansion in the semiconductor sector [6][15].