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西部矿业(601168):2025年半年报点评:玉龙铜矿业绩稳步释放,公司业绩再创新高

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 22.01 CNY, compared to the current price of 17.14 CNY [4]. Core Views - The company has shown steady performance with record high earnings, achieving a revenue of 31.619 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26.59%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.869 billion CNY, up 15.35% year-on-year [2][4]. - The increase in revenue is primarily driven by rising prices of copper, zinc, and molybdenum, with the average domestic copper price rising by 4.2% year-on-year [7][4]. - The company’s core performance is largely attributed to the Yulong Copper Mine, which reported a profit of 3.49 billion CNY, a 37% increase [7][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 15.08 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 7.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 8.8%. The net profit for the same period was 1.06 billion CNY, up 20.1% year-on-year and 31.4% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The company’s total assets are valued at 54.94 billion CNY, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 58.97% [4][8]. - The company expects to achieve net profits of 3.75 billion CNY, 4.15 billion CNY, and 4.54 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 27.8%, 10.8%, and 9.5% [8][4]. Production and Project Development - The Yulong Copper Mine produced 83,000 tons of copper and 2,525 tons of molybdenum in the first half of 2025, with significant improvements in recovery rates [7][4]. - Key projects are progressing, including the upgrade of the Xinyuan Mining 800,000 tons/year processing plant and the technical upgrade of the Su Bei Bolun iron ore processing plant [7][4]. Market Comparison - The company’s stock performance over the past 12 months shows a comparative increase against the CSI 300 index, indicating a positive market sentiment [6][4].