HAID GROUP(SZ:002311) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-07-29 15:19Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in its feed business, with significant performance in overseas markets. The revenue for H1 2025 reached 58.831 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.50%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.639 billion yuan, up 24.16% year-on-year. The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 32.2 billion yuan, a 14.00% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.356 billion yuan, up 7.26% year-on-year. The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2 yuan for every 10 shares, totaling 333 million yuan. Due to the better-than-expected sales growth in pig and poultry feed, the profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted upwards [1][5]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the feed business generated revenue of 47.139 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.02%, with a gross margin of 9.79%. The total feed sales reached 14.7 million tons, a growth of approximately 25% year-on-year. The external sales of poultry feed were 7.3 million tons, up 24% year-on-year, while pig feed external sales were 3.4 million tons, a 43% increase year-on-year. The external sales of aquatic feed reached 2.8 million tons, a 16% increase year-on-year. The overseas feed external sales increased by 40% year-on-year, indicating robust growth in established regions and active expansion into new areas [5][6]. Profitability and Growth Projections - The company's breeding business revenue for H1 2025 was 9.735 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.59%, with a gross margin of 20.26%. The animal health business generated revenue of 464 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.35% year-on-year, while the seed business revenue was 770 million yuan, up 10% year-on-year. The company is focusing on building its breeding team capabilities and innovating its asset-light model, which has led to controllable risks and considerable profitability [6][9]. Earnings Forecast - The profit forecasts for the company are as follows: for 2025, 5.148 billion yuan; for 2026, 5.739 billion yuan; and for 2027, 6.172 billion yuan. The corresponding earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 3.09 yuan, 3.45 yuan, and 3.71 yuan respectively. The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17.7, 15.9, and 14.8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1][7].