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极米科技(688696):盈利改善兑现,车载贡献增量
XGIMIXGIMI(SH:688696) HTSC·2025-07-31 01:33

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 150.00 RMB [6][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 1.626 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.63%, and a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 88.66 million RMB, up 84.56 million RMB year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is focusing on vertical integration of "hardware + algorithms + optics" to optimize cost control and enhance the universality of key components, leading to a recovery in profitability [1]. - The company is accelerating its penetration into overseas markets through smart and localized strategies, aiming to capture a larger share of the global mid-to-high-end market [1]. - The automotive optical products have been successfully implemented in various models from clients such as Seres, JAC, and BAIC, indicating potential for growth beyond the retail market [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 350 million RMB, 404 million RMB, and 447 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 191%, 15.4%, and 10.8% [4][10]. - The expected EPS for the same years is 5.00 RMB, 5.77 RMB, and 6.39 RMB [4][10]. Market Conditions - The domestic market for smart projectors is under pressure, with a 3.9% decline in sales volume to 2.778 million units and a 2.9% decrease in sales revenue to 4.68 billion RMB in H1 2025 [2]. - Despite the challenges, the company has managed to increase its average selling price by 22.7% year-on-year across major e-commerce platforms [2]. Product Development - The automotive optical products are expected to contribute to revenue starting from H1 2025, although initial depreciation and amortization costs may impact profitability [3]. - The company’s long-standing expertise in projection technology is anticipated to create differentiated advantages in various application scenarios, including automotive and commercial uses [3].