Zelgen(SH:688266) Tianfeng Securities·2025-07-31 03:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Insights - The company has successfully commercialized three key drugs and is on the verge of launching a recombinant human thyroid-stimulating hormone [1][15]. - ZG006, a CD3/DLL3/DLL3 tri-antibody, is in Phase 2 clinical trials and is expected to be the first of its kind to enter Phase 3 trials globally [2][41]. - ZG005, a PD-1/TIGIT dual antibody, shows promising clinical trial results for cervical cancer and is actively expanding into multiple indications [3][31]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are projected at 820 million, 1.201 billion, and 1.603 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits expected to be -20 million, 121 million, and 282 million RMB [4][6]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth rates, with a projected increase of 53.81% in 2025 [6]. Key Products Overview - The company has launched three key products: - Tofacitinib tablets for advanced liver cancer and radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer, which are included in the national medical insurance directory [17][18]. - Recombinant human thrombin for hemostasis, which has shown clear clinical efficacy [21][30]. - JAK inhibitor JAK2 for myelofibrosis, which has been approved for market and is expanding into other indications [31][33]. Clinical Development Highlights - ZG006 has demonstrated significant anti-tumor activity and safety in small cell lung cancer patients during clinical trials [2][40]. - ZG005 has shown a 40.9% objective response rate in cervical cancer patients who had not previously received immune checkpoint inhibitors [3][34]. Market Potential - The market for recombinant human thrombin is expected to grow alongside the increasing number of surgical procedures in China, projected to reach 12.83 million by 2030 [21][25]. - The myelofibrosis drug market is anticipated to grow significantly, with the market size expected to reach 2.93 billion RMB by 2025 [31][32].