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金河生物(002688):化药业务量价齐升驱动业绩高增,成本优势持续凸显

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][6]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 1.39 billion yuan, up 30.45% year-on-year, and net profit of 138 million yuan, up 51.52% year-on-year [2]. - The veterinary pharmaceutical segment showed remarkable performance, with revenue of 860 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 72.15%, accounting for 61.83% of total revenue [3]. - The vaccine segment maintained a stable foundation despite a slight revenue decline, with income of 155 million yuan, down 0.92% year-on-year, representing 11.12% of total revenue [4]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from domestic and international market demand growth, cost optimization, and price increases, particularly in the veterinary pharmaceutical sector [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.371 billion yuan in 2024, projected to grow to 2.835 billion yuan in 2025, and further to 3.030 billion yuan in 2026 [10]. - The net profit is expected to rise from 100 million yuan in 2024 to 197 million yuan in 2025, and 326 million yuan in 2026 [10]. - The gross margin is projected to be 33.5% in 2024, decreasing slightly to 31.9% in 2025, and then increasing to 36.4% in 2026 [10]. Business Segments - The veterinary pharmaceutical segment's gross margin was 38.13%, despite a slight year-on-year decrease due to lower-margin product sales [3]. - The vaccine segment's gross margin was 54.87%, down 5.50 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by increased market competition and customer cost-cutting [4]. - The company is expanding its product pipeline with over 20 products in research and registration, including new vaccines for various diseases [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a dual-driven strategy with its pharmaceutical and vaccine segments, supported by ongoing research and development efforts [5]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.13 yuan in 2024 to 0.26 yuan in 2025, and 0.42 yuan in 2026 [10].