CATL(SZ:300750) Minsheng Securities·2025-07-31 11:28Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, considering its stable profitability and global technological leadership [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 178.886 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30.485 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 33.33% [1]. - The overseas business has shown strong performance, generating 61.208 billion yuan in revenue, a 21.14% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.02%, significantly higher than the domestic business [2]. - The company has accelerated its development in the battery-swapping ecosystem, planning to build at least 500 battery swap stations by 2025, with a long-term goal of expanding to 10,000 stations [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a total battery system production of 310 GWh in the first half of 2025, with Q2 output expected to be close to 150 GWh, showing a continuous increase [1]. - The gross margin for the power battery system was 22.41%, while the energy storage battery system gross margin was 25.52%, indicating strong profitability [1]. Overseas Business - The company's global market share for power batteries reached 38.1% from January to May 2025, maintaining a leading position [2]. - The company has secured large-scale energy storage project orders in emerging markets such as the Middle East and Australia, particularly in high-growth scenarios like AI data centers [2]. Technological Innovation - The company has launched several innovative products, including the second-generation supercharging battery and a large-capacity energy storage system solution, reinforcing its industry leadership [2]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 406.5 billion, 497.9 billion, and 600.1 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.3%, 22.5%, and 20.5% respectively [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 68.2 billion, 80.4 billion, and 98.6 billion yuan for the same period, with corresponding growth rates of 34.4%, 17.9%, and 22.6% [3].